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Red94
86532.7
97827.7
406930.2
Blue27
7717.9
131027.6
978514.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765920401009427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+49Teleop
+41Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
9Coral scored#1
32Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
46Total teleop4
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
26Foul points0
94Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#9
32.70.3
26.025.7
Auto7.1
Teleop22.8
End2.8
red by 5.1
1310
#12
27.63.3
24.621.3
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
Second
30.20.3
31.331.0
Auto6.5
Teleop23.2
End0.4
red by 16.0
9785
#25
14.23.3
20.417.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End2.9
Third
9782
#23
7.70.3
13.413.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 0.2
771
#28
7.93.3
11.98.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned