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Red72
131027.6
503624.0
771221.8
Blue83
18843.5
85411.9
760311.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825720401001201407283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+13
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#12
28Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
38Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points0
72Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#12
27.61.0
26.625.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
blue by 16.0
188
#5
43.51.6
34.536.1
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
Second
24.01.1
24.723.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End7.4
red by 12.1
854
#22
11.91.7
9.611.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Third
21.81.1
22.020.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 10.5
7603
#26
11.31.6
12.013.6
Auto2.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed