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Red59
219815.1
503624.0
765915.5
Blue52
978514.2
503120.3
885012.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634802040801001205952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+1
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
39Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
59Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.4
24.223.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End7.4
red by 3.7
5031
#13
20.30.0
19.919.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Second
7659
#17
15.50.4
15.615.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.3
End2.0
red by 1.4
9785
#25
14.20.0
13.813.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End2.9
Third
2198
#10
15.10.4
15.415.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
red by 3.0
8850
#29
12.10.0
12.112.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed