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Red130
18843.5
755851.6
613513.6
Blue110
888439.4
91915.4
752040.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113966080120140160180130110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+12Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points17
34Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
82Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#8
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
130Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.5
50.651.2
Auto11.8
Teleop31.9
End8.0
red by 10.9
40.70.3
40.440.7
Auto9.9
Teleop29.4
End1.5
Second
188
#5
43.50.5
42.543.1
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End2.4
red by 4.1
8884
#11
39.40.3
39.139.4
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End2.0
Third
6135
#21
13.60.5
12.713.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.9
blue by 1.7
919
#20
15.40.3
15.115.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5