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Red144
7717.9
61048.8
78147.1
Blue49
503223.0
219815.1
96596.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10942020608010012014016014449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+71Teleop
+69Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +64
19Coral scored#6
68Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
96Total teleop32
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +95
28Foul points2
144Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
48.80.6
44.645.2
Auto6.1
Teleop42.2
End0.5
red by 25.9
5032
#16
23.00.0
22.822.8
Auto2.8
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Second
781
#6
47.10.6
42.843.4
Auto12.1
Teleop32.5
End2.5
red by 31.9
2198
#10
15.10.0
15.015.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Third
771
#28
7.90.6
3.74.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.0
red by 1.6
9659
#24
6.30.0
6.26.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End1.3