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Red77
503120.3
978514.2
765915.5
Blue114
771221.8
131027.6
952514.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496602040608010012077114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +25
8Coral scored#16
28Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
54Total teleop79
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +37
6Foul points2
77Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#13
20.30.5
19.820.3
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End2.6
blue by 7.3
1310
#12
27.61.2
25.927.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.8
End6.0
Second
7659
#17
15.50.5
15.015.5
Auto2.2
Teleop11.3
End2.0
blue by 6.3
21.81.2
20.121.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
Third
9785
#25
14.20.5
13.714.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End2.9
blue by 0.2
9525
#15
14.41.2
12.713.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End0.8