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Red175
1027921.2
755860.9
497647.0
Blue133
293544.5
503230.7
713617.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489650200250175133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
19Coral scored#19
69Coral points68
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
18Processor points12
24Net points24
42Algae points36
111Total teleop104
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#8
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
175Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.7
59.960.5
Auto14.8
Teleop35.3
End10.8
red by 16.4
44.50.6
43.644.2
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
Second
47.00.7
45.946.6
Auto14.2
Teleop31.4
End1.4
red by 16.3
30.70.6
29.730.4
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
Third
21.20.7
20.220.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
red by 3.4
7136
#26
17.80.6
16.817.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2