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Red45
663220.3
978537.5
672528.8
Blue83
263429.5
978215.9
503230.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666240507080901004583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+34
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +31
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#7
6Processor points6
4Net points28
10Algae points34
42Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
45Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.6
19.217.6
Auto8.0
Teleop27.6
End1.9
red by 6.8
30.70.8
24.425.2
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
Second
28.82.7
18.716.0
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
blue by 0.8
2634
#18
29.51.3
23.725.0
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
Third
6632
#25
20.32.7
19.216.5
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 4.4
9782
#12
15.90.8
8.69.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed