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Red89
885021.6
957519.9
263429.5
Blue101
492031.5
752052.8
1063415.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6911405010015020089101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
74Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
89Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#18
29.51.7
28.229.9
Auto2.7
Teleop23.8
End3.1
blue by 23.3
52.80.1
52.852.9
Auto15.9
Teleop35.0
End1.9
Second
8850
#14
21.61.5
19.721.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End1.4
blue by 10.0
4920
#11
31.50.1
31.531.6
Auto7.6
Teleop20.8
End3.2
Third
9575
#24
19.91.5
18.419.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End1.5
red by 4.5
15.40.1
15.415.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed