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Red117
293544.5
503230.7
713617.8
Blue93
965916.8
926218.5
672528.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996802040608012014016011793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points36
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#6
24Processor points6
24Net points24
48Algae points30
95Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
117Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.5
42.643.1
Auto9.8
Teleop32.8
End2.0
red by 15.8
28.80.5
28.328.9
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End1.5
Second
30.70.5
28.829.2
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End1.0
red by 12.2
9262
#10
18.50.5
18.118.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
7136
#26
17.80.5
15.916.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End1.2
red by 1.0
9659
#16
16.80.5
16.517.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End1.3