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Red26
705819.1
77218.6
1016718.2
Blue88
136044.8
461714.8
613520.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62740501001502688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +55
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
12Total teleop67
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
6Foul points6
26Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7058
#17
19.14.2
23.919.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.5
blue by 25.7
1360
#12
44.81.1
41.042.0
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
Second
772
#28
18.64.2
20.015.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 1.8
6135
#16
20.41.1
15.616.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End1.1
Third
18.24.2
14.29.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 3.3
4617
#24
14.81.8
9.611.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed