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Red161
260933.7
368394.4
909858.8
Blue35
876431.0
1051410.9
613520.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17052010015020016135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+128Teleop
+126Endgame
+126Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave9
7Coral scored#0
35Coral points0
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +93
22Coral scored#2
79Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
103Total teleop10
Reef
12L4#1
7L3#1
4L2#0
6L1 · trough#0
34Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +126
0Foul points0
161Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.41.2
80.481.6
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
red by 63.4
8764
#20
31.01.6
28.226.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End10.3
Second
58.81.2
37.839.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
red by 38.4
6135
#16
20.41.6
13.612.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End1.1
Third
33.71.2
25.026.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
red by 22.8
10.91.3
16.415.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned