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Red124
502436.2
876431.0
808928.4
Blue141
368394.4
461714.8
702210.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8413550100150200124141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+51
Endgame+15
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +33
12Coral scored#21
43Coral points76
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
6Processor points6
20Net points20
26Algae points26
69Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#13
4L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#34
BargeRed +36
36Cage & park0
36Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points2
124Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.22.1
33.535.5
Auto10.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
blue by 58.2
94.40.5
87.488.0
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
Second
8764
#20
31.02.1
24.126.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End10.3
red by 16.2
4617
#24
14.80.9
11.412.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Third
8089
#13
28.42.1
21.323.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
red by 17.6
7022
#29
10.80.9
17.718.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed