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Red43
1016718.2
1021822.6
702210.8
Blue59
494032.0
567212.6
687512.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6874204060801001204359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
24Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
43Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.62.1
26.324.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
4940
#18
32.01.1
31.029.9
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9
Second
18.22.1
17.115.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 5.4
6875
#27
12.81.1
15.214.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
7022
#29
10.82.1
14.212.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 1.8
5672
#15
12.61.1
14.913.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned