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Red161
403961.7
270242.1
1053520.6
Blue159
368394.4
876431.0
685414.5
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12715480100120140160180200161159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#20
52Coral points73
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
18Processor points18
32Net points24
50Algae points42
102Total teleop115
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#7
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
12Foul points0
161Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.71.6
58.360.0
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
blue by 32.7
94.41.1
90.291.4
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
Second
42.11.6
39.641.2
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
red by 11.0
8764
#20
31.01.1
29.430.5
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End10.3
Third
20.61.8
18.820.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 6.1
6854
#25
14.51.3
13.214.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed70%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned