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Red121
77218.6
502436.2
591233.7
Blue130
260933.7
494032.0
136044.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96125406080140160180200121130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+17Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points60
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
85Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
121Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.6
35.335.8
Auto10.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
blue by 8.6
1360
#12
44.80.2
42.843.0
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
Second
33.70.6
32.833.3
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End1.3
red by 0.1
33.70.2
31.731.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
Third
772
#28
18.60.6
17.718.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 13.3
4940
#18
32.00.2
30.030.2
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9