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Red144
270242.1
1016718.2
491758.2
Blue73
616215.6
1021822.6
747531.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139745010015020014473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
18Coral scored#10
64Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
96Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#3
9L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +71
6Foul points0
144Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.20.2
57.357.5
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
red by 27.0
7475
#26
31.20.3
31.531.2
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
Second
42.10.2
41.241.4
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
red by 19.4
22.60.3
22.922.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Third
18.20.2
17.317.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 2.5
6162
#19
15.60.3
15.915.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End0.6