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Red25
540811.4
164615.9
270225.0
Blue72
747628.0
697829.8
587020.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5678020401001201401602572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+47
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +47
3Coral scored#12
12Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#1
0Processor points12
0Net points4
0Algae points16
12Total teleop59
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
25Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#27
25.03.0
26.623.6
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5
blue by 4.7
6978
#11
29.80.6
28.128.7
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
Second
1646
#18
15.91.8
8.76.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
blue by 12.1
28.00.6
19.620.2
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Third
5408
#25
11.43.0
16.513.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.7
blue by 8.6
5870
#22
20.00.6
18.919.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed