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Red226
571922.3
368380.4
747628.0
Blue21
808919.1
912722.8
1057914.3
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1073105015020022621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+129Teleop
+133Endgame
+205Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +101
25Coral scored#2
89Coral points6
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
113Total teleop12
Reef
13L4#1
11L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
37Game pieces#4
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +205
72Foul points0
226Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.46.4
48.554.9
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
red by 57.6
9127
#21
22.82.2
9.87.6
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.0
Second
28.06.4
17.523.9
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
red by 8.9
8089
#10
19.12.2
13.811.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Third
5719
#16
22.36.4
24.430.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.7
End1.4
red by 8.0
14.32.2
12.29.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed