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Red111
124151.0
403950.3
285224.3
Blue88
747628.0
912722.8
270629.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1428505010020011188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
64Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +23
18Foul points0
111Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.7
50.649.9
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
red by 21.7
29.30.2
29.129.3
Auto6.9
Teleop21.5
End1.0
Second
50.30.7
49.949.2
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
red by 22.4
28.00.2
27.828.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Third
2852
#24
24.30.7
23.923.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
red by 1.5
9127
#21
22.80.2
22.622.8
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.0