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Red189
111465.4
775722.0
220063.1
Blue128
124151.0
403950.3
285224.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16312950100150200250189128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+61Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +68
22Coral scored#13
79Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
10Net algae#4
18Processor points6
40Net points16
58Algae points22
137Total teleop69
Reef
12L4#10
6L3#6
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points6
189Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.8
64.865.6
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
red by 14.4
51.00.1
50.650.6
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
Second
63.10.8
62.663.3
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End2.6
red by 12.8
50.30.1
50.049.9
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
Third
7757
#26
22.00.8
21.522.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 2.3
2852
#24
24.30.1
23.923.9
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4