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Red111
713617.9
490772.0
1051416.4
Blue125
461712.7
78147.2
492046.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111109105115120125111125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
6Processor points6
20Net points24
26Algae points30
75Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#10
7L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points2
111Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.5
68.569.0
Auto18.0
Teleop44.6
End9.3
red by 24.8
781
#7
47.21.5
46.547.9
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
Second
7136
#24
17.90.5
19.019.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
blue by 28.7
46.51.5
41.542.9
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
Third
16.40.5
15.716.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End1.0
red by 3.7
4617
#27
12.71.5
13.114.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed