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Red33
461712.7
713617.9
878919.0
Blue88
263420.7
663226.7
588522.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56712040801001203388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
18Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
33Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8789
#14
19.01.6
18.617.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.4
blue by 7.7
26.71.3
24.626.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
Second
7136
#24
17.91.6
18.416.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
blue by 5.0
5885
#18
22.91.3
17.719.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
Third
4617
#27
12.71.6
14.112.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 8.0
2634
#23
20.71.3
20.221.6
Auto2.4
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned