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Red64
808132.9
540818.4
878919.0
Blue60
77219.4
685417.0
588522.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7760020401001201406460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
49Total teleop32
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
64Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.2
32.232.0
Auto6.5
Teleop18.7
End7.7
red by 10.1
5885
#18
22.90.0
20.220.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
Second
8789
#14
19.00.2
18.118.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.4
blue by 0.4
772
#28
19.40.0
19.519.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Third
5408
#17
18.40.2
16.115.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.7
End1.2
red by 1.4
6854
#20
17.00.0
14.314.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed