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Red89
468818.8
568925.7
663226.7
Blue92
495124.5
878919.0
559619.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93740501508992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
71Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +3
8Foul points0
89Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.3
27.026.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End5.9
red by 2.2
24.50.3
23.824.1
Auto3.8
Teleop18.5
End2.2
Second
5689
#15
25.70.3
26.025.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.4
End1.9
red by 6.7
8789
#14
19.00.3
18.318.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.4
Third
4688
#22
18.80.3
19.118.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End0.9
blue by 0.2
5596
#11
19.00.3
18.318.6
Auto3.0
Teleop13.8
End2.3