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Red112
588522.9
685417.0
492046.5
Blue117
713617.9
78147.2
591240.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85118204060100140160180112117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
69Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
112Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.7
44.845.5
Auto15.2
Teleop28.8
End2.5
blue by 0.7
781
#7
47.20.1
46.947.0
Auto11.0
Teleop35.3
End0.9
Second
5885
#18
22.90.7
21.121.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
blue by 17.4
40.20.1
39.940.1
Auto9.1
Teleop30.2
End0.9
Third
6854
#20
17.00.7
15.316.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End1.9
blue by 0.8
7136
#24
17.90.1
17.617.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7