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Red36
2471165.9
237431.6
3636B35.2
Blue16
363672.6
1540C17.8
252126.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27813301002003004003616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+30Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +24
7Coral scored#2
24Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
30Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +10
0Cage & park10
0Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
36Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.94.5
167.1162.6
Auto10.4
Teleop148.0
End7.5
red by 93.3
72.62.6
77.574.8
Auto6.8
Teleop65.7
End-0.0
Second
35.27.4
37.229.8
Auto2.7
Teleop32.3
End0.2
red by 8.7
26.52.6
31.428.8
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
Third
31.64.5
32.828.4
Auto1.2
Teleop29.3
End1.1
red by 13.8
17.84.4
26.021.6
Auto-1.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8