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Red50
252126.5
28986.8
2374B-0.5
Blue101
237431.6
597515.6
703446.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1199005015020025050101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+61
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave2
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto2
TeleoperatedBlue +59
8Coral scored#18
30Coral points65
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
40Total teleop99
Reef
4L4#9
1L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
10Cage & park0
10Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
50Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.6
48.345.7
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End3.2
blue by 20.0
46.60.1
67.367.2
Auto10.6
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
2898
#12
6.82.6
9.97.3
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End3.2
blue by 24.9
31.60.1
33.233.1
Auto1.2
Teleop29.3
End1.1
Third
-0.54.3
30.926.6
Auto-2.5
Teleop-1.0
End3.0
blue by 16.2
5975
#11
15.60.1
1.81.7
Auto0.3
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed