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Red42
404338.1
363672.6
3636B35.2
Blue56
703446.6
273333.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2319002003004005004256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points8
15Total auto11
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#10
19Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
27Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
42Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.610.8
91.780.9
Auto6.8
Teleop65.7
End-0.0
red by 26.0
46.63.4
53.049.6
Auto10.6
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
38.110.8
48.537.7
Auto4.7
Teleop32.4
End0.9
red by 4.6
33.43.4
39.936.5
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End-0.2
Third
35.218.1
55.937.8
Auto2.7
Teleop32.3
End0.2
red by 34.3
0.95.7
5.90.2
Auto-2.3
Teleop3.6
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
3%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed