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Red247
2471165.9
237431.6
3636B35.2
Blue64
404338.1
28986.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2941310020040050060024764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+173Teleop
+183Endgame
+183Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
21Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +152
45Coral scored#11
162Coral points40
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#3
18Processor points12
36Net points12
54Algae points24
216Total teleop64
Reef
23L4#4
11L3#4
7L2#2
8L1 · trough#1
61Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
10Cage & park0
10Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +183
0Foul points0
247Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.90.0
167.4167.4
Auto10.4
Teleop148.0
End7.5
red by 127.8
38.10.3
37.737.9
Auto4.7
Teleop32.4
End0.9
Second
35.20.0
37.837.8
Auto2.7
Teleop32.3
End0.2
red by 28.4
2898
#12
6.80.3
6.46.6
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End3.2
Third
31.60.0
33.233.2
Auto1.2
Teleop29.3
End1.1
red by 30.8
0.90.4
0.20.7
Auto-2.3
Teleop3.6
End-0.4