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Red62
404338.1
28986.8
Blue70
273333.4
703446.6
2374B-0.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73670501001506270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
0Coral scored#1
2Coral points7
2Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +17
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
40Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
10Cage & park0
10Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +8
10Foul points0
62Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.2
37.938.1
Auto4.7
Teleop32.4
End0.9
blue by 8.5
46.60.3
48.448.1
Auto10.6
Teleop33.3
End2.7
Second
2898
#12
6.80.2
6.66.8
Auto0.9
Teleop2.7
End3.2
blue by 26.7
33.40.3
35.334.9
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End-0.2
Third
0.90.2
0.70.9
Auto-2.3
Teleop3.6
End-0.4
red by 1.4
-0.50.4
1.71.3
Auto-2.5
Teleop-1.0
End3.0