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Red100
669637.4
448832.3
366352.9
Blue69
466221.3
367323.0
404342.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016802040608012014010069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
67Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points0
100Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.5
42.242.7
Auto13.3
Teleop34.8
End4.7
red by 10.5
42.30.3
34.234.4
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
Second
37.40.5
20.320.8
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
red by 14.3
3673
#14
23.00.3
21.221.5
Auto2.7
Teleop18.1
End2.3
Third
4488
#10
32.30.5
26.927.4
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End1.7
red by 11.0
4662
#13
21.30.3
11.011.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed