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Red105
184411.7
363655.7
943019.1
Blue88
291513.1
142534.6
669637.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708420406010012014010588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points43
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
0Processor points0
16Net points12
16Algae points12
58Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
18Foul points6
105Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.7
47.549.2
Auto13.5
Teleop39.7
End2.4
red by 18.3
37.40.4
30.530.8
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
Second
9430
#18
19.11.7
12.414.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End1.4
blue by 15.5
34.60.4
33.433.7
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End5.3
Third
1844
#29
11.71.9
9.211.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 1.4
2915
#21
13.10.4
14.414.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed