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Red88
943019.1
367323.0
448832.3
Blue114
84721.7
363655.7
644332.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731152040608010014016088114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
69Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#4
1L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
6Foul points0
88Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#10
32.30.7
32.232.9
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End1.7
blue by 23.4
55.70.6
54.254.9
Auto13.5
Teleop39.7
End2.4
Second
3673
#14
23.00.7
22.423.1
Auto2.7
Teleop18.1
End2.3
blue by 9.3
32.30.7
30.831.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.2
End7.0
Third
9430
#18
19.10.7
18.619.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End1.4
blue by 2.6
847
#11
21.70.6
20.721.3
Auto4.7
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned