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Red110
669637.4
703430.8
597015.2
Blue82
142534.6
263521.2
466221.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8086406010012014011082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +33
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points37
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
78Total teleop45
Reef
10L4#4
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
110Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.42.9
32.134.9
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
red by 2.8
34.60.5
34.234.7
Auto10.8
Teleop18.5
End5.3
Second
30.82.6
27.430.0
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End5.2
red by 9.5
4662
#13
21.30.5
20.320.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Third
5970
#19
15.22.9
12.014.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End6.6
blue by 6.0
2635
#15
21.20.4
21.021.4
Auto2.6
Teleop12.2
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned