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Red105
95748.5
404342.3
28989.5
Blue110
154035.4
669637.4
291513.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102824060120140160105110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
12Coral scored#21
44Coral points74
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
62Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#10
4L3#7
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
105Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#3
48.50.2
47.147.3
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End7.4
red by 11.2
37.40.7
35.335.9
Auto6.1
Teleop29.8
End1.4
Second
42.30.2
40.941.1
Auto6.3
Teleop33.6
End2.5
red by 7.0
35.40.7
33.233.9
Auto7.4
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Third
2898
#28
9.50.2
8.08.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.6
blue by 3.6
2915
#21
13.10.7
11.011.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End0.7