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Red88
412512.7
367443.7
634336.4
Blue45
406025.0
28986.1
646522.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855302040601001201408845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
64Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
12Foul points0
88Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.3
32.532.8
Auto9.8
Teleop31.9
End2.1
red by 18.7
25.00.9
22.021.1
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Second
36.40.3
25.525.8
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
red by 14.1
6465
#15
22.20.9
19.018.1
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End1.2
Third
4125
#18
12.70.3
15.115.4
Auto2.3
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 6.5
2898
#30
6.10.9
11.810.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed