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Red50
406025.0
406126.4
68459.9
Blue87
378621.0
95552.3
292622.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50880204060801001201405087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+39
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +35
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points47
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#5
0Processor points0
12Net points20
12Algae points20
32Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
50Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.3
18.018.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
blue by 25.9
955
#1
52.31.6
39.841.3
Auto12.2
Teleop36.5
End3.7
Second
25.00.3
20.320.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End2.3
red by 2.2
2926
#23
22.81.6
23.925.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
Third
6845
#33
9.90.3
8.99.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 11.0
3786
#22
21.01.6
9.310.9
Auto2.2
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed