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Red111
568313.0
960026.1
634336.4
Blue76
853216.1
593721.8
74918.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706840608010012011176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
17Coral scored#10
62Coral points36
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
92Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
111Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.43.6
26.830.4
Auto5.0
Teleop29.3
End2.1
red by 14.5
5937
#31
21.80.7
19.820.5
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End1.5
Second
9600
#21
26.13.6
19.723.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End0.3
red by 7.6
749
#28
18.50.7
17.117.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.4
End0.2
Third
5683
#11
13.03.6
6.39.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
blue by 3.1
8532
#13
16.10.7
13.814.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed