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Red98
99730.2
646522.2
451336.6
Blue65
299029.6
469219.7
68459.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92642040801001201409865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points29
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
67Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
6Foul points0
98Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.6
31.532.1
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
red by 7.1
2990
#12
29.60.5
28.529.0
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
Second
997
#5
30.20.6
28.529.1
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
red by 10.5
4692
#32
19.70.5
19.720.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
6465
#15
22.20.6
17.217.8
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 12.3
6845
#33
9.90.5
8.48.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed