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Red62
302414.4
451336.6
469219.7
Blue48
956716.3
281130.3
75322.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71910501001506248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
36Total teleop25
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
62Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.4
24.222.8
Auto3.4
Teleop23.7
End9.5
red by 6.3
2811
#29
30.34.0
38.234.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.9
End6.6
Second
4692
#32
19.71.4
20.919.4
Auto2.5
Teleop15.6
End1.6
blue by 3.1
753
#16
22.84.0
19.015.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.4
End3.5
Third
3024
#24
14.41.4
18.717.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.2
blue by 1.9
9567
#19
16.34.0
20.916.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned