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Red77
646522.2
13599.0
593721.8
Blue92
703426.4
406025.0
299029.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58962040801201407792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points12
77Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#15
22.21.3
20.722.0
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End1.2
blue by 7.3
2990
#12
29.60.1
31.931.8
Auto3.1
Teleop20.8
End5.7
Second
5937
#31
21.81.3
22.523.7
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End1.5
blue by 4.6
7034
#27
26.40.1
24.624.5
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End4.3
Third
1359
#36
9.01.3
9.811.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.6
blue by 16.0
25.00.1
22.122.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned