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Red97
255024.2
853216.1
252131.1
Blue51
302414.4
593721.8
292622.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918240601001209751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
53Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
97Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#10
31.11.3
30.531.8
Auto4.6
Teleop23.4
End3.1
red by 8.3
2926
#23
22.81.2
23.221.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
Second
2550
#20
24.21.3
22.623.8
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End6.1
red by 2.4
5937
#31
21.81.2
23.722.5
Auto3.3
Teleop17.0
End1.5
Third
8532
#13
16.11.3
14.916.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End6.4
red by 1.8
3024
#24
14.41.2
15.614.4
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed