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Red56
568313.0
237422.5
255024.2
Blue42
961314.3
13599.0
99730.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716202040801001205642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+20Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
39Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points6
56Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2550
#20
24.22.4
23.320.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.2
End6.1
blue by 6.0
997
#5
30.23.3
22.219.0
Auto5.2
Teleop22.5
End2.5
Second
2374
#14
22.52.4
21.218.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.9
End1.8
red by 8.2
9613
#35
14.33.3
15.612.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End1.6
Third
5683
#11
13.02.4
15.112.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.2
red by 4.1
1359
#36
9.03.3
15.612.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed