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Red101
99730.4
159518.2
404344.2
Blue67
597022.2
184418.3
252143.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1168405010015020010167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points33
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +36
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
66Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
8Foul points0
101Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#30
44.20.5
48.247.7
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
red by 0.3
2521
#10
43.90.7
40.139.4
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
Second
997
#28
30.40.5
31.030.6
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
red by 8.2
5970
#26
22.20.7
17.917.3
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Third
1595
#21
18.20.5
21.120.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 0.1
1844
#23
18.30.7
19.018.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed