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Red100
634344.9
273327.4
469232.0
Blue101
597022.2
448838.0
99730.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12195406080140160180100101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
77Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#5
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
100Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#17
44.90.4
45.845.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End1.6
red by 6.9
38.00.7
37.037.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End5.6
Second
4692
#24
32.00.4
32.532.0
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End0.6
red by 1.7
997
#28
30.40.7
29.430.1
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
Third
2733
#33
27.40.4
28.227.8
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.3
red by 5.2
5970
#26
22.20.7
21.522.2
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned