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Red142
154051.6
142550.7
99730.4
Blue107
237433.6
634344.9
273327.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811250100200250142107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+31Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points20
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +13
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points48
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
95Total teleop82
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
142Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.2
51.351.5
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
red by 6.7
6343
#17
44.90.0
45.345.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End1.6
Second
50.70.2
50.450.6
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
red by 17.1
2374
#11
33.60.0
34.134.0
Auto1.6
Teleop29.2
End2.9
Third
997
#28
30.40.2
30.130.3
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
red by 3.0
2733
#33
27.40.0
27.827.8
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.3