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Red128
644336.0
943031.4
75329.2
Blue114
448838.0
302419.0
404344.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091098090100120130140150128114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+6
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto19
Teleoperatedlevel
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
79Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
128Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#22
36.00.7
35.936.6
Auto6.7
Teleop22.8
End6.6
blue by 8.1
4043
#30
44.20.3
43.944.2
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
Second
9430
#15
31.40.7
31.231.9
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End4.6
blue by 6.7
38.00.3
37.738.0
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End5.6
Third
753
#12
29.20.7
29.029.7
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
red by 10.2
3024
#34
19.00.3
18.719.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End2.6