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Red100
703451.0
154046.7
75321.1
Blue115
252133.1
247150.6
237429.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14314380100120160180200100115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+19
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
54Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#24
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
100Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.02.4
57.655.3
Auto17.4
Teleop27.8
End5.9
red by 0.4
50.60.6
53.052.4
Auto16.0
Teleop29.0
End5.6
Second
1540
#11
46.72.4
55.853.4
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End5.8
red by 13.7
2521
#15
33.10.6
38.738.2
Auto11.7
Teleop19.0
End2.3
Third
753
#10
21.12.4
21.919.6
Auto2.1
Teleop11.4
End7.6
blue by 8.0
29.10.6
31.831.2
Auto4.2
Teleop23.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed