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Red111
154046.7
644324.6
999817.5
Blue102
95753.5
255016.5
404332.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92133050150200250300111102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+1Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
67Total teleop59
Reef
6L4#11
7L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
111Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#11
46.71.5
49.250.7
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End5.8
blue by 6.8
957
#4
53.50.7
56.555.8
Auto17.5
Teleop27.8
End8.2
Second
24.61.5
25.026.5
Auto8.7
Teleop7.6
End8.3
blue by 7.9
32.50.7
34.533.8
Auto10.7
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Third
17.52.5
11.514.0
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End1.7
red by 1.0
2550
#16
16.50.7
18.317.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed